Player breakdown
Kenny Pickett
Pittsburgh · 2022 Draft Class
6-3217 lbs1st round, 20th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~28
EliteUnitas x1All-Conference x1Missed 25+ TD
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
85%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | PIT | 13 | 12 | 245 | 389 | 2,404 | 7 | 9 | 237 | 3 | 10 |
| 2023 | PIT | 12 | 12 | 201 | 324 | 2,070 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 1 | 7 |
| 2024 | PHI | 5 | 1 | 25 | 42 | 291 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 3 |
| 2025 | LVR | 6 | 2 | 28 | 45 | 188 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 1 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 1 | 39 | 66 | 509 | 1 | 1 | 93 | 2 | 3 |
| 2018 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7 | 169 | 281 | 1,833 | 12 | 6 | 195 | 3 | 15 |
| 2019 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 7 | 262 | 430 | 2,737 | 10 | 9 | 105 | 2 | 12 |
| 2020 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 9 | 203 | 332 | 2,408 | 13 | 9 | 145 | 8 | 21 |
| 2021 | Pittsburgh | ACC | 13 | 334 | 497 | 4,319 | 42 | 7 | 241 | 5 | 47 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
52%
ML model output
Context Prob
52%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.89 — elite athletic ceiling+0.458
Strong ascending production slope (+952 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.294
4.29s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+7.5) — getting better faster each year-0.383
5 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.347
319.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.333