Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kevin Kolb
Kevin Kolb

Player breakdown

Kevin Kolb

Houston · 2007 Draft Class

6-3218 lbs2nd round, 36th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~42
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2007PHI1000000-200
2008PHI60173414404200
2009PHI52629674143-115
2010PHI751151891,197776507
2011ARI991462531,955986509
2012ARI651091831,1698310019
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2003HoustonBig 124841411,20890228110
2004HoustonBig 12101983532,76611651516
2005HoustonBig 12112343763,0441912192423
2006HoustonBig 12132663933,423273159431

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

8%

ML model output

Context Prob

8%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.44s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
10,441 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Best-season yards rank: top 30% in class — strong+0.214

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.86 — elite athletic ceiling-0.566
Improvement accelerating (+1.8) — getting better faster each year-0.390
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.347

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)