Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Kevin O'Connell
Kevin O'Connell

Player breakdown

Kevin O'Connell

San Diego St. · 2008 Draft Class

6-5225 lbs3rd round, 94th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
MediumMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

46%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2008NWE20462300-600
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2007San Diego StateMountain West102374112,8101474341125

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

46%

ML model output

Context Prob

46%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.95 — elite athletic ceiling+0.367
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.344
4.38s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277

Top Negative Factors

281.0 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.326
Height-adjusted speed: 4.31s — elite speed for frame-0.309
Best-season yards rank: top 67% in class — average-0.286

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)