Player breakdown
Kurtis Rourke
Indiana · 2025 Draft Class
6-4220 lbs7th round, 227th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~25
HighAll-Conference x1Missed 25+ TD
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
58%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020 | Ohio | Mid-American | 2 | 30 | 44 | 386 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 3 |
| 2021 | Ohio | Mid-American | 7 | 171 | 261 | 1,817 | 11 | 7 | 327 | 3 | 14 |
| 2022 | Ohio | Mid-American | 0 | 244 | 353 | 3,256 | 25 | 4 | 249 | 4 | 29 |
| 2023 | Ohio | Mid-American | 11 | 195 | 307 | 2,207 | 11 | 5 | 219 | 4 | 15 |
| 2024 | Indiana | Big Ten | 11 | 202 | 287 | 2,827 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
37%
ML model output
Context Prob
37%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
2,827 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.273
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.270
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.263
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.61 — strong athletic ceiling-0.560
Improvement accelerating (+7.4) — getting better faster each year-0.397
257.0 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.351