Player breakdown
Kyle Orton
Purdue · 2005 Draft Class
6-4233 lbs4th round, 106th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~43
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
23%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | CHI | 15 | 15 | 190 | 368 | 1,869 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 0 | 9 |
| 2007 | CHI | 3 | 3 | 43 | 80 | 478 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2008 | CHI | 15 | 15 | 272 | 465 | 2,972 | 18 | 12 | 49 | 3 | 21 |
| 2009 | DEN | 16 | 15 | 336 | 541 | 3,802 | 21 | 12 | 71 | 0 | 21 |
| 2010 | DEN | 13 | 13 | 293 | 498 | 3,653 | 20 | 9 | 98 | 0 | 20 |
| 2011 | KAN | 4 | 3 | 59 | 97 | 779 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 0 | 1 |
| 2012 | DAL | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 89 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2013 | DAL | 3 | 1 | 33 | 51 | 398 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| 2014 | BUF | 12 | 12 | 287 | 447 | 3,018 | 18 | 10 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Purdue | Big Ten | 12 | 270 | 417 | 2,688 | 14 | 1 | 456 | 3 | 17 |
| 2004 | Purdue | Big Ten | 10 | 213 | 342 | 2,809 | 28 | 5 | 100 | 3 | 31 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
23%
ML model output
Context Prob
23%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Improvement accelerating (+0.1) — getting better faster each year+0.344
4.52s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
5,497 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.86 — elite athletic ceiling-0.559
249.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.337
Height-adjusted speed: 4.79s — below average speed for frame-0.290