Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Landry Jones
Landry Jones

Player breakdown

Landry Jones

Oklahoma · 2013 Draft Class

6-4225 lbs4th round, 115th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~37
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

19%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2015PIT72325551334-503
2016PIT82538655842-404
2017PIT31232823911-1001
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2009OklahomaSEC82614493,19826140026
2010OklahomaSEC133715684,28935110035
2011OklahomaSEC93395374,30228140028
2012OklahomaSEC113675554,26730110030

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

19%

ML model output

Context Prob

19%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Improvement accelerating (+0.3) — getting better faster each year+0.339
4.30s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
16,056 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.83 — elite athletic ceiling-0.560
391.6 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.341
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.327

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)