Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Levi Brown
Levi Brown

Player breakdown

Levi Brown

Troy · 2010 Draft Class

6-3229 lbs7th round, 209th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
MediumMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

42%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2010BUF10232401000
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2008TroySun Belt61752831,77514344014
2009TroySun Belt113215044,2542397124

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

42%

ML model output

Context Prob

42%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+2479 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.343
4.43s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
6,029 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.87 — elite athletic ceiling-0.542
Improvement accelerating (+1.4) — getting better faster each year-0.383
354.6 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.330

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)