Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Liam Szarka
Liam Szarka

Player breakdown

Liam Szarka

Air Force · 2026 Draft Class

Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

49%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2025Air ForceMountain West10751201,29485971917

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

49%

ML model output

Context Prob

49%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.351
1,294 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.554
129.4 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.329
Best-season yards rank: top 51% in class — average-0.294

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)