Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Logan Thomas
Logan Thomas

Player breakdown

Logan Thomas

Virginia Tech · 2014 Draft Class

6-6248 lbs4th round, 120th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~35
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

20%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2014ARI20198110001
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2010Virginia TechACC11226107002200
2011Virginia TechACC112153632,7991994161029
2012Virginia TechACC122204292,9761816524927
2013Virginia TechACC112243912,8611613295420

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

20%

ML model output

Context Prob

20%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 1.02 — elite athletic ceiling+0.362
4.18s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
8,743 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+26.8) — getting better faster each year-0.390
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.332
4 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)