Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Logan Woodside
Logan Woodside

Player breakdown

Logan Woodside

Toledo · 2018 Draft Class

6-1213 lbs7th round, 249th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

35%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2020TEN60137001000
2021TEN5000000-600
2023ATL10342701600
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2013ToledoMid-American12141240101601
2014ToledoMid-American81652702,09619788322
2016ToledoMid-American122713923,8824390043
2017ToledoMid-American102483823,75828565129

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

35%

ML model output

Context Prob

35%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+1172 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.337
4.15s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
9,976 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.86 — elite athletic ceiling-0.568
Improvement accelerating (+15.2) — getting better faster each year-0.390
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.353

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)