Player breakdown
Luke Altmyer
Illinois · 2026 Draft Class
6-2210 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $2.1M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
28%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Illinois | Big Ten | 13 | 240 | 353 | 2,920 | 13 | 5 | 488 | 2 | 15 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
28%
ML model output
Context Prob
28%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+2920 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.343
2,920 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.273
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.258
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.87 — elite athletic ceiling-0.568
Improvement accelerating (+2920.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
224.6 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.335