Player breakdown
Luke Falk
Washington St. · 2018 Draft Class
6-4215 lbs6th round, 199th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
20%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | NYJ | 3 | 2 | 47 | 73 | 416 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 5 | 156 | 243 | 1,859 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| 2015 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 0 | 418 | 591 | 4,266 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 36 |
| 2016 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 11 | 413 | 582 | 4,204 | 37 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
| 2017 | Washington State | Pac-12 | 10 | 357 | 534 | 3,593 | 30 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
20%
ML model output
Context Prob
20%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
13,922 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.253
Best-season yards rank: top 17% in class — strong+0.200
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.60 — strong athletic ceiling-0.560
Improvement accelerating (+1.3) — getting better faster each year-0.383
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.364