Player breakdown
Luke McCown
Louisiana Tech · 2004 Draft Class
6-4208 lbs4th round, 106th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~45
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
17%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | CLE | 5 | 4 | 48 | 98 | 608 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 4 |
| 2007 | TAM | 5 | 3 | 94 | 139 | 1,009 | 5 | 3 | 117 | 0 | 5 |
| 2008 | TAM | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 2009 | JAX | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2010 | JAX | 1 | 0 | 11 | 19 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2011 | JAX | 4 | 2 | 30 | 56 | 296 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 2012 | ATL | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2013 | NOR | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2015 | NOR | 8 | 1 | 32 | 39 | 335 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | 3 | 67 | 113 | 790 | 6 | 2 | 60 | 0 | 6 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
17%
ML model output
Context Prob
17%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.344
4.21s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
790 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.273
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.87 — elite athletic ceiling-0.554
263.3 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.318
Height-adjusted speed: 4.46s — good speed for frame-0.314