Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Luke Weaver
Luke Weaver

Player breakdown

Luke Weaver

Hawai'i · 2026 Draft Class

Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

37%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2025Hawai'iMountain West5621026065110905

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

37%

ML model output

Context Prob

37%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

606 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.273
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.554
Improvement accelerating (+606.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
121.2 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)