Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Malik Willis
Malik Willis

Player breakdown

Malik Willis

Liberty · 2022 Draft Class

6-1219 lbs3rd round, 86th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~27
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

28%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2022TEN8331612760312311
2023TEN304574002100
2024GNB7240545503013814
2025GNB4130354223012325
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2017AuburnSEC267451022112
2018AuburnSEC24619003611
2020LibertyConference USA91702652,2602069441434
2021LibertyConference USA121943152,62624128201135

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

28%

ML model output

Context Prob

28%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4,886 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269
2 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output+0.262

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.59 — average athletic ceiling-0.551
Improvement accelerating (+57.4) — getting better faster each year-0.397
232.7 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.341

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)