Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Matt Flynn
Matt Flynn

Player breakdown

Matt Flynn

LSU · 2008 Draft Class

6-2231 lbs7th round, 209th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2008GNB7025600400
2009GNB1507125801-500
2010GNB714066433322603
2011GNB51334951862-617
2012SEA30596800-500
2013GNB541021661,146746107
2014GNB708166601-1000
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2004LSUSEC1368810401
2005LSUSEC3142626151505
2006LSUSEC21220133218602
2007LSUSEC101833322,2331710207421

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

7%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.91 — elite athletic ceiling+0.355
4.34s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
2,715 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+24.4) — getting better faster each year-0.397
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.350
169.7 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.322

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)