Player breakdown
Matt Schaub
Virginia · 2004 Draft Class
6-6243 lbs3rd round, 90th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~45
Medium25+ Total TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
54%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | ATL | 6 | 1 | 33 | 70 | 330 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 1 |
| 2005 | ATL | 16 | 1 | 33 | 64 | 495 | 4 | 0 | 76 | 0 | 4 |
| 2006 | ATL | 16 | 0 | 18 | 27 | 208 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 1 |
| 2007 | HOU | 11 | 11 | 192 | 289 | 2,241 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 0 | 9 |
| 2008 | HOU | 11 | 11 | 251 | 380 | 3,043 | 15 | 10 | 68 | 2 | 17 |
| 2009 | HOU | 16 | 16 | 396 | 583 | 4,770 | 29 | 15 | 57 | 0 | 29 |
| 2010 | HOU | 16 | 16 | 365 | 574 | 4,370 | 24 | 12 | 28 | 0 | 24 |
| 2011 | HOU | 10 | 10 | 178 | 292 | 2,479 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 17 |
| 2012 | HOU | 16 | 16 | 350 | 544 | 4,008 | 22 | 12 | -9 | 0 | 22 |
| 2013 | HOU | 10 | 8 | 219 | 358 | 2,310 | 10 | 14 | 24 | 0 | 10 |
| 2014 | OAK | 11 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 57 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2015 | BAL | 2 | 2 | 52 | 80 | 540 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 3 |
| 2016 | ATL | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2018 | ATL | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019 | ATL | 6 | 1 | 50 | 67 | 580 | 3 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2020 | ATL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Virginia | ACC | 11 | 278 | 385 | 2,846 | 18 | 1 | 30 | 1 | 19 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
54%
ML model output
Context Prob
54%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.90 — elite athletic ceiling+0.371
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.344
4.62s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
Top Negative Factors
258.7 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.326
Height-adjusted speed: 4.65s — below average speed for frame-0.309
Composite college score: 7 — average multi-metric profile-0.261