Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Max Duggan
Max Duggan

Player breakdown

Max Duggan

TCU · 2023 Draft Class

6-2207 lbs7th round, 239th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
EliteDavey O'Brien x1Unitas x1All-Conference x1Missed 25+ TD
Major awards: 3Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

85%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2019TCUBig 12111813392,0771510555621
2020TCUBig 1291462401,7951045261020
2021TCUBig 1291452272,048166352319
2022TCUBig 1202393683,321304404636

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

25%

ML model output

Context Prob

25%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.91 — elite athletic ceiling+0.360
4.45s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
9,241 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

318.7 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.343
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.333
3 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)