Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Max Johnson
Max Johnson

Player breakdown

Max Johnson

North Carolina · 2026 Draft Class

6-2205 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

23%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2025North CarolinaACC45283422205202

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

23%

ML model output

Context Prob

23%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.275
422 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.273
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.58 — average athletic ceiling-0.554
Improvement accelerating (+422.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
105.5 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.318

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)