Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Michael Pratt
Michael Pratt

Player breakdown

Michael Pratt

Tulane · 2024 Draft Class

6-3217 lbs7th round, 245th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~24
HighAll-Conference x1Missed 25+ TD
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

58%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2020TulaneAmerican Athletic91402541,806208229828
2021TulaneAmerican Athletic101893282,381218154526
2022TulaneAmerican Athletic02073212,7762553951035
2023TulaneAmerican Athletic111852832,406225286527

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

22%

ML model output

Context Prob

22%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Improvement accelerating (+0.5) — getting better faster each year+0.317
4.23s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.60 — strong athletic ceiling-0.546
312.3 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.343
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.329

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)