Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Mike Glennon
Mike Glennon

Player breakdown

Mike Glennon

North Carolina St. · 2013 Draft Class

6-7225 lbs3rd round, 73rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~36
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

28%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2013TAM13132474162,60819937019
2014TAM651172031,41710649010
2016TAM2010117510001
2017CHI449314083345404
2018ARI20152117410001
2019OAK206105610001
2020JAX551111791,072751707
2021NYG64901677904103315
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2009NC StateACC1243924812001
2010NC StateACC09137800300
2011NC StateACC102624202,79028110028
2012NC StateACC123305644,03131170031

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

28%

ML model output

Context Prob

28%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+1261 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.337
4.52s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
7,147 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.88 — elite athletic ceiling-0.442
Improvement accelerating (+15.2) — getting better faster each year-0.390
310.7 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.338

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)