Player breakdown
Mike Kafka
Northwestern · 2010 Draft Class
6-3225 lbs4th round, 122nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | PHI | 4 | 0 | 11 | 16 | 107 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 3 | 55 | 96 | 494 | 1 | 5 | 263 | 2 | 3 |
| 2007 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2008 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 2 | 32 | 46 | 330 | 2 | 3 | 321 | 1 | 3 |
| 2009 | Northwestern | Big Ten | 9 | 319 | 492 | 3,430 | 16 | 12 | 299 | 8 | 24 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
7%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+978 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.314
4.37s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
4,265 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.86 — elite athletic ceiling-0.560
Improvement accelerating (+5.9) — getting better faster each year-0.390
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.334