Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Mike Teel
Mike Teel

Player breakdown

Mike Teel

Rutgers · 2009 Draft Class

6th round, 178th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~40
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2005RutgersBig Ten151101683210002
2006RutgersBig Ten81482681,86710130010
2007RutgersBig Ten81873242,85917120017
2008RutgersBig Ten82213593,09923120023

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

6%

ML model output

Context Prob

6%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

8,508 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.268
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.260
Composite college score: 11 — above avg multi-metric profile+0.168

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.546
Improvement accelerating (+3.5) — getting better faster each year-0.390
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.362

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)