Player breakdown
Mitchell Trubisky
North Carolina · 2017 Draft Class
6-2222 lbs1st round, 2nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~32
High25+ Total TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
68%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | CHI | 12 | 12 | 196 | 330 | 2,193 | 7 | 7 | 248 | 2 | 9 |
| 2018 | CHI | 14 | 14 | 289 | 434 | 3,223 | 24 | 12 | 421 | 3 | 27 |
| 2019 | CHI | 15 | 15 | 326 | 516 | 3,138 | 17 | 10 | 193 | 2 | 19 |
| 2020 | CHI | 10 | 9 | 199 | 297 | 2,055 | 16 | 8 | 195 | 1 | 17 |
| 2021 | BUF | 6 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 1 |
| 2022 | PIT | 7 | 5 | 117 | 180 | 1,252 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 2 | 6 |
| 2023 | PIT | 5 | 2 | 67 | 107 | 632 | 4 | 5 | 54 | 2 | 6 |
| 2024 | BUF | 9 | 0 | 19 | 26 | 179 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 | BUF | 4 | 0 | 25 | 35 | 313 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | North Carolina | ACC | 5 | 35 | 69 | 394 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 4 |
| 2015 | North Carolina | ACC | 0 | 40 | 47 | 555 | 6 | 0 | 101 | 3 | 9 |
| 2016 | North Carolina | ACC | 11 | 281 | 408 | 3,468 | 28 | 4 | 270 | 5 | 33 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
68%
ML model output
Context Prob
68%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.91 — elite athletic ceiling+0.370
Strong ascending production slope (+1537 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.337
4,417 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+7.8) — getting better faster each year-0.397
276.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.343
Height-adjusted speed: 4.54s — below average speed for frame-0.320