Player breakdown
Nate Stanley
Iowa · 2020 Draft Class
6-4235 lbs7th round, 244th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~29
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
9%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Iowa | Big Ten | 0 | 5 | 8 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2017 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10 | 188 | 336 | 2,338 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 |
| 2018 | Iowa | Big Ten | 10 | 214 | 365 | 2,638 | 23 | 9 | 22 | 1 | 24 |
| 2019 | Iowa | Big Ten | 8 | 219 | 372 | 2,738 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
9%
ML model output
Context Prob
9%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.92 — elite athletic ceiling+0.355
4.48s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
7,776 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+43.2) — getting better faster each year-0.397
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.367
277.7 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.334