Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Omar Jacobs
Omar Jacobs

Player breakdown

Omar Jacobs

Bowling Green · 2006 Draft Class

6-4232 lbs5th round, 164th overallAge: ~40
HighMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

57%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2004Bowling GreenMid-American112834183,637363291440
2005Bowling GreenMid-American81953212,59025762126

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

57%

ML model output

Context Prob

57%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.91 — elite athletic ceiling+0.369
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.351
4.29s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277

Top Negative Factors

327.7 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.351
Height-adjusted speed: 4.59s — below average speed for frame-0.297
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.282

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)