Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Owen McCown
Owen McCown

Player breakdown

Owen McCown

UTSA · 2026 Draft Class

Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

40%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2025UTSAAmerican Athletic132493572,6829014409

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

40%

ML model output

Context Prob

40%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

2,682 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.281
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.261

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.568
Improvement accelerating (+2682.0) — getting better faster each year-0.390
206.3 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.333

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)