Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Pat White
Pat White

Player breakdown

Pat White

West Virginia · 2009 Draft Class

6-0197 lbs2nd round, 44th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~40
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

5%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2005West VirginiaBig 1285410070875875714
2006West VirginiaBig 12101091641,5241171,0741728
2007West VirginiaBig 12101341971,5481241,1851426
2008West VirginiaBig 12101542421,510186919826

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

5%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.42s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
5,290 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
110 yards per TD — big-play production pattern+0.171

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.87 — elite athletic ceiling-0.546
Improvement accelerating (+1.2) — getting better faster each year-0.397
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.329

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)