Player breakdown
Quinn Ewers
Texas · 2025 Draft Class
6-2214 lbs7th round, 231st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
MediumMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $2.5M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
54%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | MIA | 4 | 3 | 55 | 83 | 622 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 3 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Texas | SEC | 0 | 141 | 249 | 1,808 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 2023 | Texas | SEC | 12 | 248 | 351 | 3,161 | 21 | 6 | 21 | 5 | 26 |
| 2024 | Texas | SEC | 11 | 233 | 352 | 2,665 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 25 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
54%
ML model output
Context Prob
54%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
7,634 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
2 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output+0.262
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.257
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.59 — average athletic ceiling-0.557
331.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.351
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.272