Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Reggie McNeal
Reggie McNeal

Player breakdown

Reggie McNeal

Texas A&M · 2006 Draft Class

6-2198 lbs6th round, 193rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~42
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

28%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2006CIN7000000800
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2003Texas A&MSEC121292271,79091584413
2004Texas A&MSEC91773062,550133700821
2005Texas A&MSEC81412651,963169664319

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

28%

ML model output

Context Prob

28%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.92 — elite athletic ceiling+0.355
Improvement accelerating (+0.4) — getting better faster each year+0.344
4.25s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277

Top Negative Factors

217.3 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.327
3 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319
Height-adjusted speed: 4.28s — elite speed for frame-0.295

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)