Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Rhett Bomar
Rhett Bomar

Player breakdown

Rhett Bomar

Sam Houston St. · 2009 Draft Class

6-2225 lbs5th round, 151st overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~41
MediumMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

50%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2005OklahomaSEC81502781,78999166413
2007Sam Houston StateConference USA71722912,209106406717
2008Sam Houston StateConference USA102454363,4052713187532

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

50%

ML model output

Context Prob

50%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.91 — elite athletic ceiling+0.369
4.06s short shuttle — elite lateral quickness+0.277
5,614 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273

Top Negative Factors

330.2 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.346
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.306
Height-adjusted speed: 4.57s — below average speed for frame-0.290

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)