Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ricky Stanzi
Ricky Stanzi

Player breakdown

Ricky Stanzi

Iowa · 2011 Draft Class

6-4223 lbs5th round, 135th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~39
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

20%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2007IowaBig Ten0000001300
2008IowaBig Ten81372351,80913714013
2009IowaBig Ten81713042,41717150017
2010IowaBig Ten122103242,8042540025

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

20%

ML model output

Context Prob

20%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.43s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
7,030 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
Improvement accelerating (+0.6) — getting better faster each year+0.235

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.88 — elite athletic ceiling-0.437
251.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.334
3 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)