Player breakdown
Robert Griffin III
Baylor · 2012 Draft Class
6-2223 lbs1st round, 2nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
EliteHeisman x1Davey O'Brien x1Manning x1All-American x125+ Total TD
Major awards: 4Heisman votes: 1687NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
92%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | WAS | 15 | 15 | 258 | 393 | 3,200 | 20 | 5 | 815 | 7 | 27 |
| 2013 | WAS | 13 | 13 | 274 | 456 | 3,203 | 16 | 12 | 489 | 0 | 16 |
| 2014 | WAS | 9 | 7 | 147 | 214 | 1,694 | 4 | 6 | 176 | 1 | 5 |
| 2016 | CLE | 5 | 5 | 87 | 147 | 886 | 2 | 3 | 190 | 2 | 4 |
| 2018 | BAL | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019 | BAL | 7 | 1 | 23 | 38 | 225 | 1 | 2 | 70 | 0 | 1 |
| 2020 | BAL | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 0 | 2 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Baylor | Big 12 | 11 | 160 | 267 | 2,091 | 15 | 3 | 846 | 13 | 28 |
| 2009 | Baylor | Big 12 | 3 | 45 | 69 | 481 | 4 | 0 | 77 | 2 | 6 |
| 2010 | Baylor | Big 12 | 11 | 274 | 413 | 3,195 | 21 | 8 | 591 | 8 | 29 |
| 2011 | Baylor | Big 12 | 12 | 267 | 369 | 3,998 | 36 | 6 | 644 | 9 | 45 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
55%
ML model output
Context Prob
55%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 1.03 — elite athletic ceiling+0.369
9,765 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.248
Top Negative Factors
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.353
263.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.345
4 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319