Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Russell Wilson
Russell Wilson

Player breakdown

Russell Wilson

Wisconsin · 2012 Draft Class

5-11204 lbs3rd round, 75th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~37
High25+ Total TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

62%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2012SEA16162523933,1182610489430
2013SEA16162574073,357269539127
2014SEA16162854523,475207849626
2015SEA16163294834,024348553135
2016SEA16163535464,2192111259122
2017SEA16163395533,9833411586337
2018SEA16162804273,448357376035
2019SEA16163415164,110315342334
2020SEA16163845584,2124013513242
2021SEA14142594003,113256183227
2022DEN15152924833,5241611277319
2023DEN15152974473,070268341329
2024PIT11112143362,482165155218
2025NYG63691198313310603
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2008NC StateACC81392521,769161342420
2009NC StateACC112243783,0273111260435
2010NC StateACC122804823,2882614394935
2011WisconsinBig Ten132062842,879313320536

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

62%

ML model output

Context Prob

62%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.89 — elite athletic ceiling+0.449
4.09s short shuttle — elite lateral quickness+0.277
2,879 career receiving yards — strong volume+0.273

Top Negative Factors

221.5 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.351
Height-adjusted speed: 4.59s — below average speed for frame-0.315
Best-season yards rank: top 90% in class — average-0.286

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)