Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ryan Finley
Ryan Finley

Player breakdown

Ryan Finley

North Carolina St. · 2019 Draft Class

6-4213 lbs4th round, 104th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~31
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

21%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2019CIN334187474227702
2020CIN511732164126612
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2014Boise StateMountain West11227161213102
2015Boise StateMountain West04670485144201
2016NC StateACC82243722,82015870116
2017NC StateACC112884503,200166195319
2018NC StateACC103074523,78924925125

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

21%

ML model output

Context Prob

21%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.20s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
9,809 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
Composite college score: 11 — above avg multi-metric profile+0.192

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+22.5) — getting better faster each year-0.383
338.2 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.341
3 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)