Player breakdown
Ryan Mallett
Arkansas · 2011 Draft Class
6-7253 lbs3rd round, 74th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~38
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
25%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | NWE | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 1 | -9 | 0 | 0 |
| 2014 | HOU | 3 | 2 | 41 | 75 | 400 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 2 |
| 2015 | BAL | 2 | 2 | 58 | 97 | 566 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| 2016 | BAL | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2017 | BAL | 2 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 56 | 2 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 2 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | Michigan | Big Ten | 4 | 61 | 141 | 892 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2009 | Arkansas | SEC | 12 | 225 | 403 | 3,627 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
| 2010 | Arkansas | SEC | 12 | 242 | 364 | 3,592 | 30 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
25%
ML model output
Context Prob
25%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+1350 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.331
7,219 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
2 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output+0.258
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.87 — elite athletic ceiling-0.566
Improvement accelerating (+3.1) — getting better faster each year-0.397
300.8 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.351