Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ryan Nassib
Ryan Nassib

Player breakdown

Ryan Nassib

Syracuse · 2013 Draft Class

6-2227 lbs4th round, 110th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~36
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

15%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2014NYG40456000-300
2015NYG10556810001
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2009SyracuseACC23668422312603
2010SyracuseACC101893372,0951680016
2011SyracuseACC112594152,68522939224
2012SyracuseACC112944713,7492610138228

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

15%

ML model output

Context Prob

15%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+1109 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.343
4.53s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
8,951 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.84 — elite athletic ceiling-0.568
Improvement accelerating (+7.9) — getting better faster each year-0.390
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.347

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)