Player breakdown
Ryan Tannehill
Texas A&M · 2012 Draft Class
6-4221 lbs1st round, 8th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~38
Medium25+ Total TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
46%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | MIA | 16 | 16 | 282 | 484 | 3,294 | 12 | 13 | 211 | 2 | 14 |
| 2013 | MIA | 16 | 16 | 355 | 588 | 3,913 | 24 | 17 | 238 | 1 | 25 |
| 2014 | MIA | 16 | 16 | 392 | 590 | 4,045 | 27 | 12 | 311 | 1 | 28 |
| 2015 | MIA | 16 | 16 | 363 | 586 | 4,208 | 24 | 12 | 141 | 1 | 25 |
| 2016 | MIA | 13 | 13 | 261 | 389 | 2,995 | 19 | 12 | 164 | 1 | 20 |
| 2018 | MIA | 11 | 11 | 176 | 274 | 1,979 | 17 | 9 | 145 | 0 | 17 |
| 2019 | TEN | 12 | 10 | 201 | 286 | 2,742 | 22 | 6 | 185 | 4 | 26 |
| 2020 | TEN | 16 | 16 | 315 | 481 | 3,819 | 33 | 7 | 266 | 7 | 40 |
| 2021 | TEN | 17 | 17 | 357 | 531 | 3,734 | 21 | 14 | 270 | 7 | 28 |
| 2022 | TEN | 12 | 12 | 212 | 325 | 2,536 | 13 | 6 | 98 | 2 | 15 |
| 2023 | TEN | 10 | 8 | 149 | 230 | 1,616 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 1 | 5 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Texas A&M | SEC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2009 | Texas A&M | SEC | 6 | 4 | 8 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2010 | Texas A&M | SEC | 6 | 130 | 199 | 1,434 | 11 | 3 | 33 | 1 | 12 |
| 2011 | Texas A&M | SEC | 11 | 300 | 491 | 3,415 | 28 | 14 | 296 | 4 | 32 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
46%
ML model output
Context Prob
46%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.92 — elite athletic ceiling+0.366
Strong ascending production slope (+1135 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.337
4,917 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+425.9) — getting better faster each year-0.390
182.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.343
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.334