Player breakdown
Sam Bradford
Oklahoma · 2010 Draft Class
6-4236 lbs1st round, 1st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~38
EliteHeisman x1Davey O'Brien x1All-American x1Missed 25+ TD
Major awards: 3Heisman votes: 1726NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
92%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | STL | 16 | 16 | 354 | 590 | 3,512 | 18 | 15 | 63 | 1 | 19 |
| 2011 | STL | 10 | 10 | 191 | 357 | 2,164 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 0 | 6 |
| 2012 | STL | 16 | 16 | 328 | 551 | 3,702 | 21 | 13 | 124 | 1 | 22 |
| 2013 | STL | 7 | 7 | 159 | 262 | 1,687 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 14 |
| 2015 | PHI | 14 | 14 | 346 | 532 | 3,725 | 19 | 14 | 39 | 0 | 19 |
| 2016 | MIN | 15 | 15 | 395 | 552 | 3,877 | 20 | 5 | 53 | 0 | 20 |
| 2017 | MIN | 2 | 2 | 32 | 43 | 382 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2018 | ARI | 3 | 3 | 50 | 80 | 400 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | Oklahoma | SEC | 11 | 216 | 308 | 2,879 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 2008 | Oklahoma | SEC | 13 | 302 | 442 | 4,464 | 48 | 6 | 65 | 5 | 53 |
| 2009 | Oklahoma | SEC | 2 | 39 | 69 | 562 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
71%
ML model output
Context Prob
71%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical upside: 0.93 — elite athletic ceiling+0.369
7,905 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.248
Top Negative Factors
304.0 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.345
3 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319
Height-adjusted speed: 4.54s — below average speed for frame-0.307