Player breakdown
Sam Ehlinger
Texas · 2021 Draft Class
6-1220 lbs6th round, 218th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~27
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
16%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | IND | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022 | IND | 4 | 3 | 64 | 101 | 573 | 3 | 3 | 87 | 0 | 3 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Texas | SEC | 8 | 147 | 260 | 1,803 | 10 | 7 | 368 | 2 | 12 |
| 2018 | Texas | SEC | 12 | 256 | 398 | 3,123 | 25 | 5 | 418 | 13 | 38 |
| 2019 | Texas | SEC | 11 | 284 | 436 | 3,462 | 29 | 9 | 590 | 6 | 35 |
| 2020 | Texas | SEC | 9 | 194 | 322 | 2,566 | 26 | 5 | 377 | 8 | 34 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
16%
ML model output
Context Prob
16%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
4.44s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.269
10,954 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260
Improvement accelerating (+0.9) — getting better faster each year+0.213
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.86 — elite athletic ceiling-0.566
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.353
273.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.351