Player breakdown
Sam Leavitt
Arizona State · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $4.0M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
43%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arizona State | Big 12 | 7 | 139 | 234 | 1,646 | 9 | 2 | 401 | 5 | 14 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
43%
ML model output
Context Prob
43%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.344
1,646 career receiving yards — modest volume+0.281
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.269
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.554
235.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.325
Best-season yards rank: top 43% in class — average-0.294