Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Sean Canfield
Sean Canfield

Player breakdown

Sean Canfield

Oregon St. · 2010 Draft Class

6-4223 lbs7th round, 239th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~40
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

5%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2006Oregon StatePac-120284533522002
2007Oregon StatePac-1261572721,593814008
2008Oregon StatePac-124568470362006
2009Oregon StatePac-12103034463,2712170021

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

5%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+978 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.314
4.39s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
5,902 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.86 — elite athletic ceiling-0.560
Improvement accelerating (+8.8) — getting better faster each year-0.390
295.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.327

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)