Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Sean Clifford
Sean Clifford

Player breakdown

Sean Clifford

Penn St. · 2023 Draft Class

5th round, 149th overallAge at Draft: 25Age: ~28
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

11%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2023GNB20113700-200
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2018Penn StateBig Ten25519520102
2019Penn StateBig Ten91782992,521226374527
2020Penn StateBig Ten81522511,883169335319
2021Penn StateBig Ten112473962,912206117222
2022Penn StateBig Ten02103302,543227177527

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

11%

ML model output

Context Prob

11%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

10,054 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.268
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.264
123 yards per TD — big-play production pattern+0.199

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.00 — average athletic ceiling-0.546
Improvement accelerating (+13.9) — getting better faster each year-0.397
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.362

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)