Player breakdown
Shedeur Sanders
Colorado · 2025 Draft Class
6-2212 lbs5th round, 144th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~24
HighUnitas x1All-Conference x1Missed 25+ TD
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $4.4M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
73%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | CLE | 8 | 7 | 120 | 212 | 1,400 | 7 | 10 | 169 | 1 | 8 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Cmp | Att | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | Rush Yds | Rush TD | Total TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Jackson State | SWAC | 12 | 256 | 377 | 3,056 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 32 |
| 2022 | Jackson State | SWAC | 0 | 311 | 443 | 3,383 | 36 | 6 | 174 | 5 | 41 |
| 2023 | Colorado | Big 12 | 11 | 298 | 430 | 3,230 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
| 2024 | Colorado | Big 12 | 12 | 337 | 454 | 3,926 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
70%
ML model output
Context Prob
70%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.484
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Improvement accelerating (+0.3) — getting better faster each year+0.345
7,156 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
2 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output+0.262
Top Negative Factors
Physical upside: 0.59 — average athletic ceiling-0.560
311.1 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.345
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.263