Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Spencer Rattler
Spencer Rattler

Player breakdown

Spencer Rattler

South Carolina · 2024 Draft Class

6-0211 lbs5th round, 150th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~25
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2024NOR761302281,3174514604
2025NOR981742571,5868516708
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2019OklahomaSEC16873101501
2020OklahomaSEC102143173,031287160634
2021OklahomaSEC71401871,48311577314
2022South CarolinaSEC02353532,780161119319
2023South CarolinaSEC122753993,186198104423

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

7%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.37s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
5,966 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.81 — elite athletic ceiling-0.557
Improvement accelerating (+42.6) — getting better faster each year-0.390
497.2 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.335

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)