Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Stephen McGee
Stephen McGee

Player breakdown

Stephen McGee

Texas A&M · 2009 Draft Class

6-3225 lbs4th round, 101st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~40
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

5%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2010DAL212244238207402
2011DAL102438182102801
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2005Texas A&MSEC324532832123524
2006Texas A&MSEC101772872,118112635415
2007Texas A&MSEC111923332,147127858517
2008Texas A&MSEC2568558622002

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

5%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical upside: 0.94 — elite athletic ceiling+0.355
4.49s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
5,134 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+6.6) — getting better faster each year-0.390
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.350
4 season(s) at 80+ ypg — sustained elite output-0.319

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)