Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Stetson Bennett
Stetson Bennett

Player breakdown

Stetson Bennett

Georgia · 2023 Draft Class

5-11192 lbs4th round, 128th overallAge at Draft: 25Age: ~28
EliteManning x1All-Conference x1Missed 25+ TD
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

85%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2019GeorgiaSEC12027260211213
2020GeorgiaSEC6861551,1798654210
2021GeorgiaSEC101482312,325247251125
2022GeorgiaSEC02693953,425206184727

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

19%

ML model output

Context Prob

19%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+1055 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.314
4.20s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
7,189 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.82 — elite athletic ceiling-0.568
Improvement accelerating (+12.2) — getting better faster each year-0.390
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.353

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)