Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tajh Boyd
Tajh Boyd

Player breakdown

Tajh Boyd

Clemson · 2014 Draft Class

6-1222 lbs6th round, 213th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~35
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

37%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2010ClemsonACC12040217223213
2011ClemsonACC122744533,5783110186536
2012ClemsonACC122874273,89636135141046
2013ClemsonACC122523733,473299273938

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

37%

ML model output

Context Prob

37%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+1085 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.337
4.23s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.262
11,164 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.260

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.87 — elite athletic ceiling-0.568
Improvement accelerating (+16.9) — getting better faster each year-0.390
4 college seasons of data — proven multi-year track record-0.353

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)