Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tanner Lee
Tanner Lee

Player breakdown

Tanner Lee

Nebraska · 2018 Draft Class

6-4218 lbs6th round, 203rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

21%

SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2014TulaneAmerican Athletic51853361,96212140012
2015TulaneAmerican Athletic01432761,6391170011
2017NebraskaBig Ten122464283,14323160023

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

21%

ML model output

Context Prob

21%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

4.41s short shuttle — average lateral quickness+0.277
3,143 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273
1 season(s) at 80+ ypg — one elite output+0.262

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.84 — elite athletic ceiling-0.560
261.9 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.339
Height-adjusted speed: 4.72s — below average speed for frame-0.309

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)