Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tanner McKee
Tanner McKee

Player breakdown

Tanner McKee

Stanford · 2023 Draft Class

6-6231 lbs6th round, 188th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~26
LowMissed 25+ TD
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

34%

YearTeamGGSCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2024PHI21304532340-104
2025PHI41244327411801
SeasonTeamConfGCmpAttPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TDTotal TD
2020StanfordACC0376200000
2021StanfordACC102063152,3271578419
2022StanfordACC02644262,9471380013

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

34%

ML model output

Context Prob

34%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.484

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+1442 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.343
No height-adjusted speed data — missing combine measurement+0.275
5,336 career receiving yards — elite multi-year volume+0.273

Top Negative Factors

Physical upside: 0.63 — strong athletic ceiling-0.554
Improvement accelerating (+46.5) — getting better faster each year-0.390
533.6 career ypg — elite WR1 college production-0.322

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)